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OLED is developing twice as fast as LED
Release date:2014-7-3

According to Korean survey company UBI report: The report said that the OLED lighting market will remain very small, but its performance is close to the LED in 2015, UBI forecasts that OLED panels will reach 100LM/W and 30,000 hours next year. The report concluded that, the performance improving will encourage the rapid growth of OLED lighting, and the market is expected to reach $ 4.7 billion in 2020.

But some of the lighting manufacturers don’t think that OLED will progress very quickly. OSRAM OLED product manager Karsten Diekmann said: “Market research is a difficult story, it’s really hard to tell what will be the case in five to 10 years from now”, also he added that: “Our key year for performance is 2016, where we anticipate to break the 100lm/W barrier and to be technically competitive with LED technology. We showed a 65lm/W OLED at Lighting + Building this year, which is the same performance of CFL; but sadly nobody is interested in the performance of CFL. Everything is back to LED performance, which is the true benchmark.”

OLED is catching up, Diekmann think OLED technology advancement speed is twice of the LED. In 2010 OSRAM introduced 20lm/W and 5000 hours L50 OLED, it has tremendous progress today for OSRAM launched 65lm/W and 15,000 hours L70 OLED, the brightness is three times as before. Compared to LED, it needs to return six or seven years to achieve double performance improving. He also pointed out that the LED with more thermal and optical losses than OLED; Therefore, OLED is expected to compete with the LED in two years later.

Of course, price is another matter, Diekmann forecast OLED will be competitive with LED in price need at least 2018, or even 2020. “The goal is clear,” Karsten Diekmann said, “OLEDs have to be competitive in pricing in order to succeed in the lighting market. By having a good technical performance two years from now won’t mean we can start selling OLEDs for the same price. First we need premium projects, new infrastructures, standardisation efforts; then you can start all these economy of scale factors.”

OSRAM hopes the automotive industry to push the OLED market, drive down costs and achieve the general lighting market. “We think the OEMs in the car industry are desperately looking for possibilities to differentiate themselves from others to create branding by lighting, to have a certain fingerprint from their luminaires.” Diekmann said. “They will be the first adopters of OLED technology. With this we can increase our economies of scale and then move into the general lighting market with OLEDs.”